川習會後臺灣戰略角色受矚目
美國總統川普(Donald Trump)與中國共產黨領導人習近平(Xi Jinping)於2026年5月13日至15日舉行的峰會,不僅引發全球經濟專家的關注,也讓臺灣的決策官員及國際觀察家們感到憂慮。此次峰會揭示了一種更為強硬且前所未有的「大國共存」新形態,多個領域同時運作,而臺灣正成為北京與華盛頓尋求長期影響力的關鍵戰場之一。
臺灣智庫(Global Taiwan Institute)的分析指出,在川習會後,臺灣面臨著新的不確定性。北京當局已找到新的兩岸施壓點,並在2026年5月下旬,利用中國海警局(CCG)的行動,針對臺灣在南海的據點進行施壓。同時,臺灣總統賴清德(Lai Ching-te)在4月訪問史瓦帝尼(Eswatini)的行程,也因中國的壓力而出現幹擾,據彭博社報導,中國據稱向塞席爾(Seychelles)、模里西斯(Mauritius)和馬達加斯加(Madagascar)施壓,要求其撤銷賴清德的飛越許可。
臺灣智庫(Global Taiwan Institute)的另一份報告也探討了「法律戰」作為嚇阻臺灣突發事件的潛力,並提出建立美臺合作框架。此外,臺灣智庫(Taiwan Insight)的文章也探討了臺灣的民主主體性,以及在外部壓力下,臺灣能否將其民主多元主義轉化為戰略能動性。文章指出,這種民主主體性包含3個面向:制度性、社會性與文化性。
在其他層面,臺灣智庫(Taiwan Insight)的文章也探討了臺灣的城市韌性規劃,指出在2026年城市韌性演習的準備過程中,存在1個關鍵挑戰:韌性的正式定義與衡量方式,與其在臺灣危機情境下的實際運作之間存在落差,因為在實際情況中,非正式的、基於信任的社群網路往往扮演著核心角色。臺灣智庫(Taiwan Insight)的文章也分析了泰國與臺灣的關係,認為儘管面臨中國日益增長的影響力,兩國仍有許多合作機會,包括擴充套件健康合作與軟實力。
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